Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between 1win and PARIVISION in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against PARIVISION. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against 1win. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The 1win Essence Playoffs upper bracket final will pit 1win against PARIVISION in a best-of-three Dota 2 match scheduled for 10 May at 11:00 AM ET. The winner advances directly to the grand final, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at any price, with the crowd-implied probability reflecting no meaningful trading activity or consensus positioning. This absence of liquidity typically emerges when market participants lack confidence in available information or when the matchup falls outside primary attention zones for esports traders.
Historical precedent suggests that 0% implied probabilities in esports markets often reflect data gaps rather than certainty about outcomes. Dota 2 tournament brackets frequently experience roster changes, player substitutions, or technical issues in the weeks preceding playoffs, which can substantially shift competitive balance. Without recent head-to-head records between these specific rosters or current patch performance data readily available, traders are operating from incomplete information, explaining the lack of committed positions.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of final rosters from both organisations, any roster announcements or player availability updates before the scheduled date, and patch notes if Valve releases balance changes between now and 10 May. Tournament organisers occasionally reschedule matches due to technical infrastructure or player circumstances, which would trigger the 50-50 tie-breaker clause if delays exceed seven days. Traders should monitor the 1win Essence Playoffs official channels and team social media for scheduling confirmations and roster stability signals.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/gorgc. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$348K in lifetime turnover and $5.4M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $348K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/gorgc. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: