Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Walczaki and KOLESIE in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 4 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Walczaki" if Walczaki win the match against KOLESIE. This market will resolve to "KOLESIE" if KOLESIE win the match against Walczaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 65% YES | 35% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) | 33% YES | 68% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Walczaki and KOLESIE are set to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage on 4 June at 1:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Walczaki at 64% implied probability, reflecting modest favouritism despite limited recent head-to-head data between these regional squads. NODWIN's Clutch Series operates as a secondary-tier competitive circuit, drawing teams from emerging scenes rather than established tier-one rosters, which typically produces higher volatility in match outcomes than established leagues.
Comparable regional Counter-Strike tournaments show that Group Stage matches involving lesser-known lineups often experience significant probability shifts as match day approaches, particularly once team rosters are confirmed and recent scrim results surface. Teams at this competitive level frequently rotate players or field stand-ins, which materially affects match likelihood. The 64% mark suggests traders view Walczaki as the slight favourite, though the absence of substantial recent form data means this probability may reflect limited information rather than decisive competitive advantage.
Traders should monitor NODWIN's official schedule and team announcements through early June for roster confirmations, any player absences, or technical delays that could affect the 7-day settlement window. The match's position as a Group Stage fixture means both teams require wins for advancement, potentially influencing tactical approach. Schedule adherence and completion risk remain the primary variables, given that delays beyond 7 June without resolution trigger a 50-50 settlement regardless of competitive state.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$358 in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $358 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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