Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between Turma do Pagode and Bounty Hunters Esports in the CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 9 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Turma do Pagode" if Turma do Pagode win the match against Bounty Hunters Esports. This market will resolve to "Bounty Hunters Esports" if Bounty Hunters Esports win the match against Turma do Pagode. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs Turma do Pagode (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: TdP (-1.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Turma do Pagode face Bounty Hunters Esports in a Counter-Strike quarterfinal within the CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs, scheduled for 9 May at 6:00 PM ET. The match determines progression in a regional competition that feeds into broader Latin American esports infrastructure. Current Polymarket order book pricing reflects 0% implied probability for a Turma do Pagode victory, suggesting the market has assigned negligible win likelihood to the team or indicates insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful spread.
South American Counter-Strike regional tournaments have historically produced volatile results, with roster stability and recent form shifts creating significant variance between seeding and actual match outcomes. Teams in CCT competitions have shown susceptibility to upsets when facing unfamiliar opponents or following roster changes. The 0% pricing may reflect either strong conviction in Bounty Hunters' superiority or simply thin order book depth at current price levels, a common feature in lower-liquidity esports markets where even modest backing can move implied probabilities substantially.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements regarding roster confirmations, any last-minute substitutions, or scheduling changes up to the 7-day grace period before settlement. Recent team performance data from preceding CCT matches and any public statements about preparation will provide concrete information beyond current pricing. Equipment or technical issues affecting either squad in practice sessions could also shift competitive dynamics, though such information typically emerges through community channels rather than formal announcements.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playof" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$96K in lifetime turnover and $319K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $96K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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