Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SE7ENS Esport and Nerve of Cow in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 6 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "SE7ENS Esport" if SE7ENS Esport win the match against Nerve of Cow. This market will resolve to "Nerve of Cow" if Nerve of Cow win the match against SE7ENS Esport. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
SE7ENS Esport will face Nerve of Cow in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, scheduled for 6 May at 3:30PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for SE7ENS victory, suggesting the market has priced in either overwhelming confidence in Nerve of Cow or substantial uncertainty about match completion. With the settlement window closing 7 May at 01:30 UTC, traders have approximately 22 hours post-scheduled time to assess outcomes before the resolution criteria activate.
ESEA Advanced Europe operates as a competitive but secondary-tier league within European Counter-Strike, sitting below the Pro division. Teams at this level exhibit volatile performance trajectories, with roster changes, stand-in availability, and preparation time significantly affecting match outcomes. The 0% probability on SE7ENS suggests either prior match cancellations involving these squads, documented roster instability, or recent public statements regarding unavailability. Historical precedent in regional qualifiers shows that administrative delays and fixture rescheduling occur frequently enough that the 7-day buffer clause carries material weight.
Traders should monitor ESEA's official fixture confirmations and both organisations' social media channels through 5 May for any announcements regarding player availability, reschedules, or withdrawals. The absence of recent fixture data for either team in public standings suggests this may represent a lower-profile matchday. Any confirmation of match proceeding as scheduled would represent a significant catalyst, as the current pricing leaves substantial room for revaluation if SE7ENS participation becomes confirmed.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: SE7ENS Esport vs Nerve of Cow (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$24 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: