Esports

Trade: Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between RED Canids Academy and paiN Academy in the Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 4 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "RED Canids Academy" if RED Canids Academy win the match against paiN Academy. This market will resolve to "paiN Academy" if paiN Academy win the match against RED Canids Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$20K
Total Volume
$2K
24h Volume
$2K
Open Interest
$2K
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Map 1 Winner 52% YES49% NO
Map 2 Winner 46% YES55% NO
Match Winner 37% YES64% NO
O/U 2.5 Games 50% YES50% NO

Market context

RED Canids Academy and paiN Academy are set to contest the first semifinal of the Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs in Counter-Strike on 4 June at 14:30 ET. The best-of-three format determines which academy squad advances to the final. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a near-even split at 48% implied probability for RED Canids Academy, suggesting traders view this as a closely matched fixture with marginal lean towards paiN Academy.

Both squads operate within Brazil's competitive academy ecosystem, where roster stability and recent tournament performance carry substantial weight. RED Canids Academy and paiN Academy have competed across multiple Gamers Club seasons, with outcomes typically hinging on map pool preparation and individual player form rather than structural advantages. Historical matchups between academy-tier Brazilian sides show volatility; upsets occur when preparation asymmetries emerge or when one team's map veto strategy exploits the opponent's weaknesses. The 48–52 probability split reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear favourite.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations through to match day, as academy lineups occasionally shift due to player promotions to main rosters or injury. The Gamers Club Liga Série A maintains a published schedule; any official postponement announcement would trigger the seven-day delay clause outlined in settlement terms. Map pool selections, typically announced 24 hours before play, offer final intelligence on tactical preparation. Fixture timing at 14:30 ET aligns with standard Brazilian esports broadcast windows, reducing likelihood of scheduling disruption.

Wikipedia Context

  • Counter-Strike

    Counter-Strike (CS) is a series of multiplayer tactical first-person shooter video games, in which opposing teams attempt to complete various objectives. The series began on Windows in 1999 with the release of the first game, Counter-Strike. It was initially released as a mod for Half-Life that was designed by Minh Le and Jess Cliffe before the rights to the

  • Counter-Strike (video game)
    Counter-Strike (video game)

    Counter-Strike is a 2000 tactical first-person shooter game developed by Valve Corporation and published by Sierra Studios. It is the first installment in the Counter-Strike series.

  • Counter-Strike in esports
    Counter-Strike in esports

    Professional Counter-Strike competition involves professional gamers competing in the first-person shooter game series Counter-Strike. The original game, released in 1999, is a mod developed by Minh "Gooseman" Le and Jess Cliffe of the 1998 video game Half-Life, published by Valve. Currently, the games that have been played competitively include Counter-Stri

  • Counterstrike (drum and bass group)

    Counterstrike is a drum and bass music producer duo from Cape Town consisting of Justin Scholtemeyer and Eaton Crous. They are considered to be one of the pioneers of the South African drum and bass scene. Counterstrike are known for their composition of raw, high-energy sound inspired by metal, techno and early techstep.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/gamersclubcs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$2K in lifetime turnover and $20K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.

Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/gamersclubcs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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