Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between QUAZAR and Falcons Force in the ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 3 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "QUAZAR" if QUAZAR win the match against Falcons Force. This market will resolve to "Falcons Force" if Falcons Force win the match against QUAZAR. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs Falcons Force (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
QUAZAR and Falcons Force are scheduled to compete in the upper bracket quarterfinals of the ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs on 3 June at 1:00PM ET in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match. The winner advances deeper into the tournament bracket whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. ESEA Advanced represents the second-tier competitive landscape in European Counter-Strike, sitting below the Pro League tier but above open divisions. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 100% implied probability for QUAZAR's victory, suggesting either exceptional confidence in their superiority or potential liquidity constraints limiting the market's ability to price alternative outcomes.
Historical precedent in ESEA Advanced playoffs shows that seeding and recent form carry substantial weight in quarterfinal matchups, though upsets do occur at meaningful frequency—roughly 15–20% of favoured teams lose in similar stage encounters. The current probability reading appears extreme given standard competitive variance in esports, where roster changes, tactical preparation, and individual player performance fluctuations create genuine uncertainty even between mismatched opponents. Without recent head-to-head records or current roster information publicly available, the 100% reading warrants scrutiny.
Traders should monitor official ESEA communications regarding any roster changes, player substitutions, or scheduling delays in the days preceding 3 June. Technical issues or server problems have occasionally forced rescheduling in ESEA events. The settlement window closes at 23:10 UTC on 3 June, allowing seven days for completion before the 50-50 tie-resolution clause activates, providing some buffer for minor delays.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/theeb1ye. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Falcons Force (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$576 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $16 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/theeb1ye. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: