Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Project 91 and Banger Gang in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Project 91" if Project 91 win the match against Banger Gang. This market will resolve to "Banger Gang" if Banger Gang win the match against Project 91. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 61% YES | 39% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Project 91 and Banger Gang are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, with the fixture originally set for 13 May at 14:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Project 91's victory at 61%, reflecting moderate confidence in the higher-seeded side. This probability has formed through standard backing and laying activity, with the spread suggesting meaningful uncertainty despite Project 91's apparent favourability.
ESEA Advanced Europe operates as a competitive but secondary-tier circuit, hosting teams that fall below the elite Tier 1 scene. Historical precedent from similar regional qualifiers shows that best-of-one formats introduce substantial variance; single-map contests eliminate the strategic depth of series play, allowing lower-ranked squads to capitalise on map selection and tactical preparation. Project 91's 61% implied probability aligns with typical pricing for a favoured team in such conditions, though the 39% tail for Banger Gang reflects genuine upset potential inherent to the format.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmation as the settlement window extends to 19 May, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date. Roster changes, player availability, or technical delays affecting either organisation could shift the match's timing or outcome likelihood. Recent ESEA administrative communications and team announcements regarding participation remain critical; cancellation or postponement beyond the grace period would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Current pricing reflects standard backing for the favoured side without material new information, leaving room for adjustment should team news or odds movement on external books shift market sentiment.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$74 in lifetime turnover and $801 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $74 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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