Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Players and FURIA fe in the CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 4 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Players" if Players win the match against FURIA fe. This market will resolve to "FURIA fe" if FURIA fe win the match against Players. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: PLS (-1.5) vs FURIA fe (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Counter-Strike's CCT South America Series #1 enters its group stage with a Round 4 matchup between Players and FURIA fe, scheduled for 4 May at 3:00PM ET. The best-of-three format determines advancement through the regional qualifier, which feeds into broader competitive circuits for both men's and women's Counter-Strike. FURIA fe represents one of South America's established women's rosters, whilst Players competes in the same regional ecosystem. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for this market, indicating either overwhelming confidence in one outcome or minimal trading activity establishing price discovery at the extremes.
Historical precedent in CCT regional tournaments shows group stage matches typically proceed as scheduled, with cancellations rare outside of documented visa or infrastructure issues. Women's Counter-Strike fixtures in South America have maintained reasonable scheduling consistency through 2024 and early 2025, though weather disruptions and venue changes have occasionally forced 24–48 hour delays. The settlement window extends to 5 May at 01:00 UTC, providing a seven-day buffer before the 50-50 tie-resolution clause activates, which accommodates standard rescheduling practices.
Traders should monitor official CCT communications and team social media for roster confirmations, particularly given women's esports' occasional player availability constraints. Server stability and broadcast confirmation typically emerge 24–48 hours before match time. Any announcement regarding venue changes or scheduling shifts would materially affect execution risk, as would unexpected roster substitutions that could influence competitive balance.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Players vs FURIA fe (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$44K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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