Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between NEW VISION and Benched gods in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 8 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "NEW VISION" if NEW VISION win the match against Benched gods. This market will resolve to "Benched gods" if Benched gods win the match against NEW VISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Benched gods (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
NEW VISION and Benched gods will contest a lower bracket quarterfinal match in the CCT Europe Challengers Series on 8 May, with the fixture scheduled for 09:45 ET. The best-of-three format determines advancement in this regional qualifying tournament for European Counter-Strike teams. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 100% implied probability for NEW VISION, indicating the market has priced in a decisive favourite, though the settlement window extends to 19:45 ET on the match date, allowing for scheduling adjustments within the tournament's operational window.
CCT Europe Challengers matches historically show volatility in lower bracket play, where roster stability and recent form diverge significantly from seeding expectations. Teams in this tier frequently experience lineup changes and preparation inconsistencies that create pricing inefficiencies. The 100% probability on Polymarket's order book suggests either substantial pre-match information favouring NEW VISION or minimal liquidity in the book, both of which merit scrutiny before execution.
Traders should monitor tournament announcements regarding roster confirmations, any last-minute substitutions, or schedule changes that could affect match timing. The CCT Europe circuit publishes fixture updates on its official channels; delays beyond seven days without resolution trigger the 50-50 settlement clause. Recent competitive Counter-Strike results from both organisations, if publicly available through HLTV or similar databases, would establish baseline performance metrics. The tight settlement window relative to the scheduled start time leaves minimal buffer for technical disruptions or administrative delays.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs3. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$260K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $12K in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs3. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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