Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between GamerLegion and FlyQuest in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 2 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against FlyQuest. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against GamerLegion. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 91% YES | 10% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
GamerLegion face FlyQuest in a best-of-one Round 2 match at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 counter-strike tournament, scheduled for 2 June 2026 at 2:00PM ET. The winner advances through the group stage; the loser faces elimination or a lower bracket depending on the tournament format. Current Polymarket order book pricing reflects an 83% implied probability for GamerLegion victory, suggesting the market views them as clear favourites in this single-map encounter.
GamerLegion have established themselves as a consistent top-tier European roster in recent seasons, whilst FlyQuest represent the North American competitive scene. Historical precedent from previous IEM Cologne events shows European teams have held marginal advantages in best-of-one formats against North American opposition, though upsets remain common given the format's inherent variance. FlyQuest's recent roster adjustments and form heading into the Major will substantially influence whether the current 83% probability holds or compresses closer to the match date.
Key variables for traders include official confirmation of both rosters' final lineups, any last-minute roster changes or player illness announcements from ESL or team channels, and map pool selections which can favour particular team compositions. The seven-day settlement window extends to 3 June 00:10 UTC, providing buffer for potential scheduling delays. Monitor ESL's official schedule updates and team social media for any fixture postponements, as technical issues or venue complications at Cologne could trigger the 50-50 tie-break resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.1M in lifetime turnover and $374K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1.1M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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