Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Fluxo W7M and Fake do Biru in the Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 3 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against Fake do Biru. This market will resolve to "Fake do Biru" if Fake do Biru win the match against Fluxo W7M. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Fake do Biru (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Fluxo W7M face Fake do Biru in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match during the Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage, originally scheduled for 3 May at 22:30 UTC. The match represents Round 5 of the group phase, with both teams competing in Brazil's domestic competitive circuit. Settlement occurs on 4 May at 03:40 UTC, allowing a seven-day grace period for rescheduled fixtures before resolution defaults to 50-50.
The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either extreme confidence in Fluxo W7M or insufficient liquidity at the ask side. Fluxo W7M have established themselves as a stronger outfit within the Brazilian scene, though Fake do Biru remain competitive at domestic level. Historical precedent suggests Brazilian regional matches rarely cancel outright, and the seven-day buffer accommodates typical rescheduling without triggering the tie resolution clause. The 0% reading likely indicates no active sellers willing to back Fake do Biru at any price, rather than genuine certainty about the outcome.
Traders should monitor official Odyssey Cup communications for fixture confirmations, team roster changes, or scheduling conflicts that could delay play beyond the settlement window. Recent Brazilian CS tournaments have proceeded largely on schedule, though internet infrastructure issues or visa complications affecting international players occasionally force postponements. Any announcement regarding player availability, particularly if either squad loses key personnel, would shift match dynamics materially. The order book will clarify true market sentiment once liquidity appears at both sides.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/gamersclubcs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/gamersclubcs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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