Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 3 match between EC BANGA and Atreides in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 7 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EC BANGA" if EC BANGA win the match against Atreides. This market will resolve to "Atreides" if Atreides win the match against EC BANGA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: Atreides (-1.5) vs EC BANGA (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
EC BANGA and Atreides will contest a lower bracket round 3 match in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs on 7 May at 07:00 ET. The best-of-three fixture determines progression in the competition's European division. The market currently reflects a 50-50 split on Polymarket's order book, suggesting traders view both squads as evenly matched at present odds.
The CCT Europe Challengers Series has established itself as a secondary competitive pathway for Counter-Strike teams, typically featuring rosters in transition or development phases. Historical precedent from similar lower bracket encounters in regional qualifiers shows that implied probabilities near 50% often persist when teams lack extensive recent head-to-head records or comparable tournament results. Both EC BANGA and Atreides operate at similar competitive tiers within the European circuit, which explains the equilibrium pricing. Traders should examine recent LAN placements and online league results from both organisations to identify any skill gaps the current odds may not yet reflect.
Key catalysts include official roster confirmations closer to match day, as Counter-Strike teams occasionally field substitute players for regional qualifiers. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on 7 May, allowing a ten-hour window for the match to conclude. Any scheduling delays beyond 7 May without a determined winner will trigger a 50-50 resolution. Traders should monitor CCT's official announcements and team social media for withdrawal notices or format changes that could affect fixture timing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs3. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: EC BANGA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$609 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs3. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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