Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 2 match between Arch and OLDBOYS- in the ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 1 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Arch" if Arch win the match against OLDBOYS-. This market will resolve to "OLDBOYS-" if OLDBOYS- win the match against Arch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs Arch (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Arch and OLDBOYS- are scheduled to compete in the upper bracket round two of the ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs on 1 June at 1:30PM ET, playing a best-of-three Counter-Strike match. The winner advances further in the tournament bracket, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at any price level, with the crowd-implied probability sitting at 0% YES, indicating either minimal trading activity or a technical display issue reflecting no executed trades.
ESEA Advanced Europe represents a mid-tier competitive Counter-Strike ecosystem where roster stability and recent form carry substantial weight in match outcomes. Historical precedent suggests that teams entering playoffs with consistent line-ups and recent LAN results tend to outperform those with recent changes or extended breaks. The 0% probability reading is unusual for a scheduled match and typically reflects either extremely low liquidity, a market that has not yet attracted trader interest, or a settlement mechanism that traders perceive as problematic. Without recent head-to-head records or current roster information readily available, traders should treat this probability as uninformative rather than predictive.
Key variables for traders include roster confirmation closer to match day, any last-minute schedule changes, and whether either team announces roster adjustments or withdrawals. ESEA's official website and team social media accounts will carry definitive scheduling updates. The settlement window closes 7 days after the scheduled date, meaning delays beyond 8 June without a completed result would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Traders should monitor for any forfeit announcements, which would resolve the market to the advancing team rather than 50-50.
The Counter-Strike match-fixing scandal was a 2014 match fixing scandal in the North American professional scene of Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS:GO). It involved a match between two teams, iBUYPOWER and NetCodeGuides.com, where questionable and unsportsmanlike performance from the team iBUYPOWER, then considered the best North American team, drew su
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/michu. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Arch vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/michu. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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