Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between L1ga Team and Poor Rangers in the Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 2 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "L1ga Team" if L1ga Team win the match against Poor Rangers. This market will resolve to "Poor Rangers" if Poor Rangers win the match against L1ga Team. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1? | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1? | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2? | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1? | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1? | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1? | 48% YES | 53% NO |
L1ga Team and Poor Rangers are scheduled to compete in an upper bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier on 2 June at 9:00AM ET. The best-of-three match determines advancement in the regional qualifying pathway for the broader Esports World Cup circuit. Current Polymarket order book activity has settled the implied probability at 50%, reflecting genuine uncertainty about the outcome between these two Eastern European Dota 2 squads.
Historical performance data from recent Eastern European Dota 2 qualifiers shows that upper bracket semifinals typically feature teams with comparable skill levels, as weaker sides are eliminated earlier. When matched opponents reach this stage, win probabilities cluster around 45–55% unless one team has demonstrated clear recent form advantages or roster changes. The 50-50 split here suggests traders view both teams as evenly matched based on available information about their recent scrim results, LAN placements, and roster stability heading into June.
Key variables affecting settlement include roster confirmations and any last-minute schedule adjustments. Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup communications for match postponements, as the seven-day grace period in the resolution criteria creates a potential 50-50 outcome if delays extend beyond 9 June without completion. Streaming confirmation and official bracket updates from the qualifier organisers will provide clarity on whether both teams field their expected lineups and whether technical or logistical issues emerge in the 48 hours before the scheduled start time.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ewc_plus_en. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$8K in lifetime turnover and $40K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for dota 2 contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $8K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ewc_plus_en. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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