Trade: Montreal Alouettes vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming CFL game between the Montreal Alouettes and Hamilton Tiger-Cats, scheduled for June 4 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Montreal Alouettes" if the Montreal Alouettes win the game. This market will resolve to "Hamilton Tiger-Cats" if the Hamilton Tiger-Cats win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $2K
- Total Volume
- $10
- 24h Volume
- $10
- Open Interest
- $10
Market outcomes
| Montreal Alouettes vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 50.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
Market context
The Montreal Alouettes travel to Hamilton to face the Tiger-Cats on 4 June at 19:30 ET in a regular-season CFL matchup. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 66% implied probability for an Alouettes victory, suggesting the market views Montreal as a clear favourite in this contest. This probability has been formed through live trading activity and represents the consensus valuation across the platform's liquidity pools at present.
Montreal enters the 2024 season as one of the CFL's stronger franchises, having competed consistently in recent campaigns. Hamilton, by contrast, has struggled in recent seasons and typically operates as an underdog in most matchups. Historical head-to-head records between these teams show Montreal winning the majority of encounters over the past three seasons, which contextualises why the market has priced the Alouettes at two-to-one odds. The 66% probability sits within the range one would expect given the relative strength differential between the squads.
Traders should monitor team injury reports released in the days preceding the fixture, particularly regarding key offensive and defensive personnel. Weather conditions at Tim Hortons Field could influence game flow, though early June typically presents stable conditions in southern Ontario. Any late roster changes or coaching adjustments announced closer to kickoff may shift the order book. The settlement window extends to 11 June at 23:30 UTC, providing adequate time for the match to be completed even if postponement occurs.
Wikipedia Context
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Montreal AlouettesThe Montreal Alouettes, colloquially known as the Als, are a professional Canadian football team based in Montreal. Founded in 1946, the team has disbanded and been re-established twice. The Alouettes compete in the East Division of the Canadian Football League (CFL) and last won the Grey Cup in 2023, defeating the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in the 110th Grey Cup
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Montreal Alouettes all-time records and statistics
The following is a list of Montreal Alouettes all time records and statistics current to the 2025 CFL season.
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List of Montreal Alouettes head coaches
The Montreal Alouettes are a professional Canadian football team based in Montreal, Quebec, and are members of the East Division in the Canadian Football League (CFL).
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List of Montreal Alouettes seasons
This is a complete list of seasons competed by the Montreal Alouettes, a Canadian Football League team. The team was founded in 1946 as a member of the Interprovincial Rugby Football Union, and followed the rest of the IRFU into the CFL when it was founded in 1958. The franchise folded after the 1981 season, but a new team named the Concordes took their pla
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cfl.ca/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Montreal Alouettes vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$10 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for cfl contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $10 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.cfl.ca/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Montreal Alouettes vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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