Donald Trump is scheduled to visit The Villages on May 1, 2026, 3PM ET (https://www.dailycommercial.com/story/news/local/2026/04/28/president-trump-set-to-visit-the-villages-in-florida-on-may-1-2026/89835008007/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during events at The Villages scheduled for May 1, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Market outcomes
| Joe / Biden 20+ times | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| Percent 20+ times | 33% YES | 67% NO |
| Transgender | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Job 10+ times | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Nuclear 3+ times | 58% YES | 42% NO |
| Stock market / 401(k) | 88% YES | 13% NO |
| Obamacare | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Social Security | 95% YES | 6% NO |
A prediction market is a real-money contract that pays $1 per YES share if the stated outcome occurs, and $0 if it does not. The current price is therefore the crowd's probability estimate — set by thousands of traders competing in a live order book, not a bookmaker. PolyGram routes your order into the same Polymarket venue, adds an email-first login and USDC deposits, and settles on Polygon within minutes of the result.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
The market is scheduled to close on 1 May 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.