This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Alexander Zverev in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Alexander Zverev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Jakub Mensik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Market outcomes
| Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev | 33% YES | 68% NO |
| Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 69% YES | 31% NO |
| Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 Winner | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Match O/U 21.5 | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 40% YES | 60% NO |
| Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Match O/U 22.5 | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 60% YES | 40% NO |
A prediction market is a real-money contract that pays $1 per YES share if the stated outcome occurs, and $0 if it does not. The current price is therefore the crowd's probability estimate — set by thousands of traders competing in a live order book, not a bookmaker. PolyGram routes your order into the same Polymarket venue, adds an email-first login and USDC deposits, and settles on Polygon within minutes of the result.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
The market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.