This market will resolve to "Vince Morales" if Vince Morales is officially declared the winner of the fight against Colby Thicknesse at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Colby Thicknesse" if Colby Thicknesse is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market outcomes
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 36% YES | 64% NO |
| Morales to win by KO/TKO? | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| Thicknesse to win by KO/TKO? | 35% YES | 65% NO |
| Fight won by submission? | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 74% YES | 27% NO |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 71% YES | 29% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 71% YES | 29% NO |
| Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | 43% YES | 57% NO |
Each sports market names its resolution source in advance — typically the official league result feed, referee scorecard or governing body announcement. Odds on PolyGram reflect the Polymarket order book, not a bookmaker's margin, so the price is the crowd's probability rather than a 5-20% vig layered on top. You can enter or exit at any point, including during in-play windows for the biggest matches, and settlement in USDC lands on Polygon within minutes of resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ufc.com/events. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ufc.com/events. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
The market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.