Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Solary and Galions in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 3 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win the match against Galions. This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against Solary. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The LFL Grand Final between Solary and Galions represents the culmination of the French League of Legends competitive season, scheduled for 3 June at 12:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 69% implied probability favouring Solary, suggesting the market has priced in a meaningful advantage for the defending or higher-seeded side. This probability has formed through active trading across the book's depth, with the spread between bid and ask prices indicating moderate liquidity for a regional esports final.
Solary's positioning at nearly 70% aligns with historical patterns in LFL finals where the stronger regular-season performer or previous champion typically commands a premium. French League finals have occasionally seen upsets, but the consistency of top-tier teams in best-of-five formats generally favours the higher-ranked side. Galions would need to demonstrate significant form improvement or exploit specific meta-game advantages to justify closing the gap materially.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 3 June fixture, as player availability has occasionally shifted LFL outcomes. Schedule adherence matters given the seven-day delay clause in settlement terms—any postponement beyond 10 June would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent patch notes and meta shifts in the broader League competitive scene may also influence preparation quality, particularly if either team has struggled adapting to recent changes. Broadcast confirmation and venue stability remain baseline dependencies for match completion.
Lola Solar (1904–1989) was an Austrian teacher and politician. She was a member of the Austrian People's Party which she represented in the Austrian Parliament. She was the first president of the European Union of Women and served in the post between 1955 and 1959.
This market settles from the official outcome published at http://www.twitch.tv/otplol_. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$773K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $770K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from http://www.twitch.tv/otplol_. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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