Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 8 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against GIANTX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
GIANTX and Movistar KOI will contest a best-of-three League of Legends match in the LEC Regular Season on 8 May 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices GIANTX's victory at 31 per cent, reflecting a significant underdog position relative to KOI. This probability reflects real-time trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, with the spread between bid and ask prices tightening as match day approaches.
KOI has established itself as a stronger outfit in recent LEC seasons, consistently finishing higher in regular season standings and demonstrating more stable performance across roster iterations. GIANTX, by contrast, has experienced greater volatility in results and has struggled to maintain competitive consistency against top-tier opponents. Historical matchups between these organisations typically favour KOI, though single-match variance in League remains substantial—any team can secure a best-of-three on a given day depending on draft execution, early game coordination and mid-game macro play.
Traders should monitor roster announcements or last-minute substitutions in the days preceding the match, as player availability directly impacts team strength. The LEC's official schedule and any postponement notices will be critical; the settlement window extends to 22:10 UTC on 8 May, allowing for matches delayed within the same calendar day. Recent patch notes affecting champion viability and any pre-match analysis from LEC broadcast teams may shift market sentiment, particularly if either team's strategic flexibility is questioned ahead of the fixture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lec. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.4M in lifetime turnover and $269 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1.4M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lec. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: