Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 10 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win the match against Hanwha Life Esports. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against Kiwoom DRX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1% YES | 100% NO |
Kiwoom DRX and Hanwha Life Esports will compete in a League of Legends best-of-three match during LCK Rounds 1–2, scheduled for 10 May 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 6% implied probability for DRX victory, pricing them as substantial underdogs despite their historical standing in the region. This pricing emerges from real-time trading activity on the platform, where the spread between bid and ask orders establishes the consensus expectation among active traders.
DRX has historically been one of the LCK's stronger franchises, reaching Worlds finals and maintaining competitive rosters, whilst Hanwha Life Esports has operated as a mid-tier organisation with inconsistent performance. The 6% probability suggests traders are either heavily favouring Hanwha's current form, anticipating roster changes or meta shifts that disadvantage DRX, or pricing in significant uncertainty about team composition and preparation heading into the 2026 season. Comparable LCK matchups involving established organisations typically trade with wider probability distributions unless recent results or roster news have shifted expectations sharply.
Traders should monitor official LCK announcements regarding roster finalisation, any injury or substitution news, and scrim results if leaked through community channels. The settlement window closes at 16:00 UTC on 10 May, allowing only the scheduled match window for resolution. Any cancellation, postponement beyond seven days, or incomplete match would trigger a 50–50 resolution, introducing tail risk that may not be fully reflected in current pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lck. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.7M in lifetime turnover and $1.1M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1.7M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lck. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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