Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 8 at 7:00PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Knicks vs. 76ers | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Spread -3.5 | — | |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 213.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The New York Knicks and Philadelphia 76ers are scheduled to play on 8 May at 7:00 PM ET, with the market settling on the final result including any overtime periods. The 50% implied probability reflects an even matchup between the two Eastern Conference rivals.
The Knicks and 76ers have maintained competitive parity over recent seasons, with head-to-head records typically close. Historical playoff matchups between these franchises show neither team has established decisive dominance, though contextual factors such as home-court advantage, injury status, and playoff seeding significantly influence outcomes. The current equal probability aligns with their comparable roster strength and recent performance trajectories, though the specific playoff round and circumstances will determine whether this baseline holds.
Traders should monitor roster availability in the days preceding the fixture, particularly regarding key players' injury status or load management decisions. The 76ers' depth at guard and the Knicks' frontcourt strength represent the primary tactical variables. Schedule positioning matters: if this contest determines playoff seeding or represents an elimination game, team motivation and tactical preparation shift materially. Any official postponement would extend the settlement window, whilst cancellation without rescheduling would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Recent team form, including performance in preceding games and any coaching adjustments, provides additional context for assessing whether the current even odds accurately reflect underlying competitive balance.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nba.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Knicks vs. 76ers" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$10.3M in lifetime turnover and $4.7M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $9.1M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nba.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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