Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Vici Gaming and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 15 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Vici Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
Sports outcome markets settle within hours of game-end via the UMA optimistic oracle, with the YES/NO line refreshing in real time on every meaningful in-game event. Odds will populate live once the order book fills resolving today, backed by $130K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Vici Gaming and Team Falcons will contest a best-of-three Dota 2 match in DreamLeague Group A on 15 May at 06:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Vici Gaming's victory at 23 per cent implied probability, reflecting substantial confidence in Team Falcons. DreamLeague is a tier-one tournament with consistent scheduling and reliable completion rates, reducing the likelihood of cancellation or extended delays beyond the seven-day resolution window.
Vici Gaming has maintained competitive standing in recent Dota 2 circuits but faces a Team Falcons squad that has demonstrated strong form in 2024–2025 regional qualifiers and group-stage performances. Historical matchups between Chinese and Middle Eastern rosters in DreamLeague events show variable outcomes dependent on patch timing and team preparation depth. The 23 per cent probability reflects market assessment that Falcons enter as favourites, though Vici's experience in high-pressure group stages provides baseline credibility.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions in the 48 hours before the match, as DreamLeague occasionally accommodates roster changes for competing regional commitments. Patch updates to Dota 2 released within a week of the fixture can significantly alter hero viability and team preparation strategies. Schedule adherence has been reliable for DreamLeague events; delays beyond the settlement window are uncommon. The match outcome will depend substantially on in-game execution rather than external factors, making the current probability assessment primarily a reflection of perceived skill differential and recent form rather than event-risk pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2earth. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 15 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Disputed resolutions are rare — fewer than 0.5% of PolyGram markets in 2026 to date — and even rarer for events with clear, verifiable resolution sources.
Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. From there, withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Your slippage tolerance and the depth of resting limit orders determine the actual fill.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$451K in lifetime turnover and $130K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $451K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2earth. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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