Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PARIVISION and Xtreme Gaming in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Xtreme Gaming. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2? | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 2? | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 2? | 90% YES | 10% NO |
PARIVISION and Xtreme Gaming are scheduled to contest a best-of-three Dota 2 match in DreamLeague's Group B stage on 14 May at 1:00 PM ET. The 90% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects strong backing for PARIVISION, with the spread suggesting roughly a 9:1 odds ratio between the two outcomes. This probability has formed through active trading on the book, where larger positions typically shift the curve towards consensus expectations.
PARIVISION enters as the favoured side, a positioning consistent with their recent tournament performances and roster stability. Xtreme Gaming, whilst competitive in regional circuits, has faced inconsistent results against top-tier opposition in international events. Historical matchups between similarly-ranked teams in DreamLeague group stages show that the higher-seeded or more established squad wins approximately 75–85% of such encounters, which aligns with the current market pricing.
Traders should monitor several factors ahead of settlement: roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions, which occasionally occur in regional Dota 2 circuits; official DreamLeague scheduling updates, particularly given the 7-day delay clause in the resolution criteria; and any technical issues that could trigger the tie-resolution pathway. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 14 May, providing a hard deadline for match completion. Recent esports coverage from sources tracking DreamLeague fixtures should confirm final team lineups and any format changes within 48 hours of the scheduled start time.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.3M in lifetime turnover and $3.5M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1.3M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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