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What will Trump say during WHCA Dinner on April 25?

Opened · Settles · 28 comments

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the WHCA Dinner events scheduled for April 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Liquidity
$125K
Total Volume
$272K
24h Volume
$246K
Open Interest
$163K
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Market outcomes

Beautiful / Wonderful 12+ times 0% YES100% NO
Midterm / Election 3+ times 1% YES99% NO
Pope / Christian 0% YES100% NO
Space / Moon 1% YES99% NO
Nobel / Peace Prize 1% YES99% NO
Psychological / Psychologist / Psychology 1% YES99% NO
AI / Artificial Intelligence 1% YES99% NO
Too Late / Powell 0% YES100% NO

How prediction markets work

A prediction market is a real-money contract that pays $1 per YES share if the stated outcome occurs, and $0 if it does not. The current price is therefore the crowd's probability estimate — set by thousands of traders competing in a live order book, not a bookmaker. PolyGram routes your order into the same Polymarket venue, adds an email-first login and USDC deposits, and settles on Polygon within minutes of the result.

How this market resolves

Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.

When does this market settle?

The market is scheduled to close on 25 April 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.

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