This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Xtreme Gaming and Yakult Brothers in the ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 1 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against Yakult Brothers. This market will resolve to "Yakult Brothers" if Yakult Brothers win the match against Xtreme Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Market outcomes
| Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2? | 3% YES | 98% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 3? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2? | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
A prediction market is a real-money contract that pays $1 per YES share if the stated outcome occurs, and $0 if it does not. The current price is therefore the crowd's probability estimate — set by thousands of traders competing in a live order book, not a bookmaker. PolyGram routes your order into the same Polymarket venue, adds an email-first login and USDC deposits, and settles on Polygon within minutes of the result.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bkop. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bkop. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
The market is scheduled to close on 1 May 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.