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Diplomacy ceasefire

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

7% YES 93% NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If …

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Market Outcomes

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? 7% YES93% NO
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