Market outcomes
| ↑ 94,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 90,000 | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| ↑ 86,000 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| ↓ 76,000 | 85% YES | 16% NO |
| ↓ 74,000 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| ↓ 72,000 | 21% YES | 79% NO |
| ↓ 70,000 | 9% YES | 92% NO |
Crypto markets on Polymarket typically settle against a specific index — the Coinbase spot price at a defined UTC moment is the most common. Binary markets pay $1 per YES share if the price closes above the threshold, $0 if not; scalar markets pay proportional to the final price. UMA's optimistic oracle handles any disputes. PolyGram adds a mobile-first interface, USDC deposits without a wallet, and portfolio analytics on top of the same underlying liquidity.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
The market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.