This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Market outcomes
| ↑ $8,000 | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| ↑ $7,000 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| ↑ $6,500 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| ↑ $6,200 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| ↑ $6,000 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| ↑ $5,500 | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| ↑ $5,000 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ↓ $5,000 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
A prediction market is a real-money contract that pays $1 per YES share if the stated outcome occurs, and $0 if it does not. The current price is therefore the crowd's probability estimate — set by thousands of traders competing in a live order book, not a bookmaker. PolyGram routes your order into the same Polymarket venue, adds an email-first login and USDC deposits, and settles on Polygon within minutes of the result.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
The market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.