Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is photographed in a tagged editorial photo on Getty Images on every day between June 1, 2026, and June 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a given date, the photo must list that date in Getty Images’ “Date created” field and be uploaded by 11:59 PM ET on the calendar day after this market’s final specified date. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or editing. If a tagged photo does not actually depict Donald Trump, or is materially mis-tagged (for example, with the wrong date), it will not qualify. Example of a date with no qualifying photos: April 4, 2026.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (6/1-6/7) | 1% YES | 99% NO |
The market tests whether Donald Trump will be photographed by Getty Images' editorial photographers on all seven consecutive days from 1–7 June 2026. The resolution hinges on Getty's "Date created" field for tagged images uploaded within the specified window, requiring authentic photographs rather than AI-generated or substantially edited material. At 2% implied probability, the order book reflects substantial scepticism that daily coverage will materialise across this particular week.
Historical precedent suggests daily Getty editorial photography of a single political figure outside active campaigning or major crisis periods remains uncommon. Trump's public schedule has typically generated consistent coverage during high-profile events—campaign rallies, court appearances, or significant announcements—but routine weeks without scheduled activities frequently produce gaps in editorial photography. The 2% probability aligns with base rates for consecutive daily coverage requirements, where weather, travel schedules, or reduced news cycles create natural breaks in photographic documentation.
Traders should monitor Trump's announced schedule for early June 2026, particularly whether he has scheduled public events, campaign activities, or travel during this window. Getty's editorial priorities shift with news cycles; a major political development or legal proceeding could substantially increase daily coverage likelihood. Conversely, a quiet week with limited public appearances would reinforce the current low probability. The resolution mechanism's specificity—requiring Getty's internal date stamps rather than publication dates—introduces additional friction, as photographers' upload timing may lag behind actual event dates.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (6/1-6/7)" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $12K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for trump contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 1%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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