Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Carol Zhao and Xiaodi You in the Jiujiang, originally scheduled for May 6, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carol Zhao' if Carol Zhao advances against Xiaodi You. This market will resolve to 'Xiaodi You' if Xiaodi You advances against Carol Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Jiujiang: Carol Zhao vs Xiaodi You | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Jiujiang: Carol Zhao vs Xiaodi You Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Jiujiang: Carol Zhao vs Xiaodi You Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Jiujiang: Carol Zhao vs Xiaodi You Match O/U 23.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Jiujiang: Carol Zhao vs Xiaodi You Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Jiujiang: Carol Zhao vs Xiaodi You Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Jiujiang: Carol Zhao vs Xiaodi You Set 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Jiujiang: Carol Zhao vs Xiaodi You Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Carol Zhao and Xiaodi You are scheduled to compete in a Jiujiang tennis match on 6 May 2026. The market currently reflects 0% implied probability for Zhao's advancement, with the settlement window closing on 13 May 2026. This pricing emerges from Polymarket's order book, where traders have positioned heavily against a Zhao victory, though the match remains weeks away and subject to standard scheduling risks inherent to lower-tier professional tennis events.
The 0% probability reading warrants context against comparable WTA and ITF matchups. Zhao, a Canadian player with limited recent tour activity, faces You, a Chinese competitor with stronger domestic circuit presence. In similar pairings between players with asymmetric recent form and ranking separation, order books typically reflect the higher-ranked or more active player's advantage through wider spreads rather than absolute extremes. A complete absence of YES-side liquidity suggests either decisive ranking disparity or limited market participation at this event tier.
Traders should monitor tournament confirmation and draw publication, typically released 7–10 days before the event. Withdrawal announcements, injury disclosures, or schedule changes would trigger resolution mechanics outlined in the market terms. The 7-day delay clause creates a secondary catalyst: if either player withdraws after 6 May without the match occurring, the market resolves 50-50 rather than to the absent player's opponent. Recent ITF and lower WTA events have seen elevated withdrawal rates post-scheduling, particularly for players managing injury or ranking-point prioritisation across competing tournaments.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Jiujiang: Carol Zhao vs Xiaodi You" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$48K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: