Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Yidi Yang and Yufei Ren in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yidi Yang' if Yidi Yang advances against Yufei Ren. This market will resolve to 'Yufei Ren' if Yufei Ren advances against Yidi Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Yufei Ren | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Yidi Yang and Yufei Ren are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament at Wuning on 4 June 2026. The market currently reflects a 45% implied probability for Yang's advancement, suggesting near-parity in the order book with a slight lean toward Ren. Settlement occurs on 12 June, allowing an eight-day window for match completion and resolution.
Both players operate within the ITF circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on recent form, surface adaptation, and head-to-head records. Yang and Ren's prior encounters, if any exist, would typically inform baseline expectations; however, ITF-level competitors often show significant variance in performance across different tournaments and surfaces. The 45% probability suggests the market has incorporated available ranking data and recent results, though ITF matches frequently produce outcomes that defy seeding expectations due to the developmental nature of the circuit.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any weather disruptions affecting the Wuning venue in early June. ITF events occasionally experience scheduling delays or cancellations due to facility constraints or inclement weather, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if the match extends beyond seven days without completion. Injury announcements or late withdrawals in the days preceding 4 June could shift the order book substantially, particularly if either player pulls out and the match is cancelled entirely.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Yufei Ren" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$12 in lifetime turnover and $948 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $12 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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