Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Tsygourova and Barbora Michalkova in the ITF Women Osijek, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Tsygourova' if Katerina Tsygourova advances against Barbora Michalkova. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Michalkova' if Barbora Michalkova advances against Katerina Tsygourova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Osijek: Katerina Tsygourova vs Barbora Michalkova | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Katerina Tsygourova faces Barbora Michalkova in the ITF Women's tournament at Osijek, scheduled for 2 June 2026. The match is set for 7:00 AM ET, with settlement occurring by 9 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Tsygourova's advancement, indicating either substantial confidence in her victory or minimal trading activity establishing a genuine price discovery mechanism at this early stage.
ITF Women's events at the Osijek venue typically feature players ranked between 300 and 800 on the WTA rankings, with match outcomes heavily influenced by recent form and surface adaptation. Tsygourova, a Czech player, and Michalkova, a Slovak competitor, operate within similar competitive tiers. Historical ITF tournament data shows that heavily skewed probabilities in early market formation often reflect incomplete information rather than settled consensus—traders should monitor both players' recent match records and any qualifying round results leading into the main draw, as these directly correlate with tournament performance.
Key catalysts include confirmation of both players' participation in the draw, any injury announcements, and weather conditions affecting the clay court surface at Osijek. The settlement window extends seven days beyond the scheduled date, providing buffer for weather delays common in early June Eastern European tournaments. Traders should track ITF live scoring updates and official tournament communications from the WTA Challenger circuit, as late withdrawals or schedule adjustments occasionally occur within 48 hours of match time.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Osijek: Katerina Tsygourova vs Barbora Michalkova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$238 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $140 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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