Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Aruzhan Sagandikova and Daria Koreshkova in the ITF Women Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aruzhan Sagandikova' if Aruzhan Sagandikova advances against Daria Koreshkova. This market will resolve to 'Daria Koreshkova' if Daria Koreshkova advances against Aruzhan Sagandikova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Daria Koreshkova | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Aruzhan Sagandikova of Kazakhstan faces Daria Koreshkova in a women's ITF tennis match scheduled for 27 May 2026 in Tsaghkadzor, Armenia. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Sagandikova's advancement, indicating either substantial confidence in her victory or minimal trading activity establishing price discovery. The settlement window closes 3 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date for match completion.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this tier typically feature significant variance in outcomes, particularly when players are ranked outside the WTA top 200. Historical precedent suggests that 100% probabilities on lower-tier professional tennis matches often reflect thin liquidity rather than certainty—early market formation on niche events frequently lacks sufficient order book depth to establish competitive pricing. Sagandikova's recent form and head-to-head record against Koreshkova would normally anchor expectations, though publicly available ranking data for both players should be cross-referenced against ITF databases to assess relative competitive positioning.
Traders should monitor ITF official announcements regarding court assignments and weather conditions in Armenia, which can affect scheduling. Any withdrawal notifications from either player would trigger immediate market recalibration. The seven-day delay clause creates a specific risk vector: matches postponed beyond 27 May without completion by 3 June would resolve to 50-50 regardless of competitive circumstances, introducing settlement uncertainty independent of on-court performance.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Daria Koreshkova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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