Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Pereira and Alan Wazny in the ITF Men Bol, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Alan Wazny. This market will resolve to 'Alan Wazny' if Alan Wazny advances against Tiago Pereira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Bol: Tiago Pereira vs Alan Wazny | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Tiago Pereira faces Alan Wazny in an ITF Men's event at Bol, originally scheduled for 29 May 2026 at 05:30 ET. The match settlement window closes 5 June 2026 at 09:30 UTC, allowing a seven-day window for completion. Current order book pricing on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Pereira, suggesting either substantial backing for his advancement or minimal liquidity at present depth. This extreme skew typically indicates either strong conviction among early traders or insufficient volume to establish a balanced two-sided market.
ITF Futures events at lower-tier venues frequently experience scheduling disruptions, weather delays, and player withdrawals. Historical resolution patterns show that matches at regional ITF tournaments settle within the scheduled window roughly 75–80% of the time, with approximately 15% experiencing single-day delays and 5–10% cancelled or unresolved. Pereira's ranking and recent form relative to Wazny would normally anchor the probability, but limited public match history between these competitors at this level makes comparative analysis difficult.
Traders should monitor ITF Bol's official draw updates and weather forecasts for the Croatian coast in late May, as spring conditions occasionally force rescheduling. Player injury announcements or late withdrawals typically emerge 48–72 hours before scheduled play. The settlement mechanics—resolving to 50-50 if the match is delayed beyond seven days without completion—create a distinct risk profile; any disruption extending past 5 June triggers a tie outcome regardless of eventual result.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Bol: Tiago Pereira vs Alan Wazny" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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