Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Jazmin Ortenzi and Marta Lombardini in the ITF Women Caserta, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jazmin Ortenzi' if Jazmin Ortenzi advances against Marta Lombardini. This market will resolve to 'Marta Lombardini' if Marta Lombardini advances against Jazmin Ortenzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Caserta: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Marta Lombardini | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Jazmin Ortenzi faces Marta Lombardini in the ITF Women's tournament at Caserta, scheduled for 4 June 2026. The match forms part of the ITF circuit's lower-tier competitive structure, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The settlement window closes on 11 June, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date for match completion or rescheduling before resolution triggers the 50-50 tie clause.
The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity rather than certainty of outcome. ITF matches at this level frequently attract sparse liquidity, particularly when neither player commands significant recognition amongst prediction market participants. Historical precedent suggests that low-probability assignments on lesser-known ITF fixtures often stem from information asymmetries—traders with direct knowledge of player form, injury status, or draw positioning may not be active on the platform. Comparable ITF women's matches show volatile probability shifts once trading begins, as early positions can shift substantially with modest order flow.
Traders should monitor ITF official draw confirmations and any player withdrawal announcements through the WTA or ITF websites in the days preceding 4 June. Weather disruptions at the Caserta venue, which occasionally affects Italian clay-court tournaments, could trigger rescheduling. Recent tournament schedules suggest ITF events maintain relatively reliable completion rates, though surface conditions and scheduling conflicts remain material risks. The absence of pre-match trading activity suggests limited public information has crystallised market expectations thus far.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caserta: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Marta Lombardini" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $64K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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