Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Ogescu and Alexia-Shara Iancu in the ITF Women Focsani, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Ogescu' if Simona Ogescu advances against Alexia-Shara Iancu. This market will resolve to 'Alexia-Shara Iancu' if Alexia-Shara Iancu advances against Simona Ogescu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Focsani: Simona Ogescu vs Alexia-Shara Iancu | 85% YES | 15% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Simona Ogescu and Alexia-Shara Iancu are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Focsani tournament on 4 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects an 85% implied probability for Ogescu's advancement, suggesting market participants view her as the clear favourite in this matchup.
The probability formation reflects typical patterns in ITF women's tennis markets, where ranking differential and recent form carry substantial weight. Ogescu's higher seeding or recent results likely account for the significant odds gap. Comparable ITF fixtures at this level historically show that favourites at 80%+ probability win approximately 75–80% of the time, though upsets remain common enough to warrant attention. The settlement window extends to 11 June, providing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date for completion.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament updates and player withdrawal announcements in the days preceding the match. Surface conditions at the Focsani venue and any late fitness concerns could shift the probability materially. Recent form data, available through WTA and ITF databases, will be critical for assessing whether the current 85% reflects genuine performance gaps or market overconfidence. The relatively tight settlement window means delays beyond 7 June would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk considerations for positions held close to the deadline.
The ITTF-Oceania Cup is an annual table tennis event held by the International Table Tennis Federation (ITTF). The event features men's and women's singles tournaments, with the winners qualifying for the table tennis World Cup.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Focsani: Simona Ogescu vs Alexia-Shara Iancu" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $744 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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