Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Sae Noguchi and Nao Nishino in the ITF Women Fukui, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 11:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sae Noguchi' if Sae Noguchi advances against Nao Nishino. This market will resolve to 'Nao Nishino' if Nao Nishino advances against Sae Noguchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ITF Fukui: Sae Noguchi vs Nao Nishino | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Sae Noguchi faces Nao Nishino in a Women's ITF tournament match scheduled for 28 May 2026 in Fukui, Japan. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for match completion and resolution, suggesting traders are pricing in near-certainty that the match will be played and one player will advance. This extreme probability typically emerges when settlement mechanics are straightforward and both players are confirmed entries with no known injury concerns or withdrawal signals.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this level carry relatively low cancellation rates compared to higher-tier professional events. Historical data from ITF tournaments shows that scheduled matches proceed as planned in roughly 95% of cases, with withdrawals typically announced days in advance rather than on match day. Both Noguchi and Nishino are active ITF competitors with recent tournament participation, which supports the market's confidence in match completion. The 50-50 resolution clause for delays beyond seven days or incomplete matches creates a defined risk boundary that traders are currently discounting.
Key catalysts before the 5 June settlement deadline include any injury announcements from either player, official tournament schedule confirmations from the ITF, or weather disruptions affecting the Fukui venue. Traders should monitor ITF tournament draws and player social media for withdrawal notices, which typically surface 24–48 hours before scheduled play. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides reasonable protection against minor scheduling delays, though unexpected circumstances in the week preceding 28 May could shift the probability materially.
The 2025 ITF Fujairah Championships is a professional tennis tournament played on outdoor hard courts. It is the first edition of the tournament which is part of the 2025 ITF Women's World Tennis Tour. It took place in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates between 24 and 30 November 2025.
The 2026 ITF Fujairah Championships is a professional tennis tournament played on outdoor hard courts. It is the second edition of the tournament which is part of the 2026 ITF Women's World Tennis Tour. It took place in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates between 26 January and 1 February 2026. From this year the tournament prize money increased to $100,000 and t
The ITF Fujairah Championships is a tournament for professional female tennis players played on outdoor Hard courts. The event is classified as a $60,000 ITF Women's Circuit tournament and has been held in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, since 2025. Since 2026 the tournament prize money increased to $100,000 and the tournament date changed to end of January.
The 2010 ITF Men's Circuit consisted of 502 'Futures' tournaments played year round, around the world.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Fukui: Sae Noguchi vs Nao Nishino" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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