Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Giulia Alessia Monteleone and Micol Salvadori in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Alessia Monteleone' if Giulia Alessia Monteleone advances against Micol Salvadori. This market will resolve to 'Micol Salvadori' if Micol Salvadori advances against Giulia Alessia Monteleone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Giulia Alessia Monteleone vs Micol Salvadori | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Giulia Alessia Monteleone and Micol Salvadori are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament at Monastir on 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to Monteleone's advancement, reflecting either extreme confidence in Salvadori or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful two-sided market. Settlement occurs by 10 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for match completion.
Both players compete regularly on the ITF circuit, where outcomes depend heavily on recent form, court surface adaptation, and head-to-head records. Monteleone and Salvadori's prior meetings and current ranking trajectories would typically inform baseline expectations; however, the 0% implied probability suggests either a significant disparity in recent performance metrics or a market formation issue where one side has not yet committed capital. ITF women's matches frequently produce upsets relative to seeding, particularly when lower-ranked players face unfamiliar opponents on clay courts.
Traders should monitor official ITF and WTA databases for any withdrawal announcements, injury disclosures, or schedule changes in the week preceding 3 June. Court conditions at Monastir and weather forecasts closer to the match date may also shift expectations, as clay-court performance varies substantially with surface moisture and temperature. Confirmation of both players' participation and any updated ranking information released by the WTA in late May would provide material data points for reassessing the current probability formation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Giulia Alessia Monteleone vs Micol Salvadori" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$205 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $205 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: