Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Maxwell Mckennon and Pablo Perez Ramos in the ITF Men Kayseri, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxwell Mckennon' if Maxwell Mckennon advances against Pablo Perez Ramos. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Perez Ramos' if Pablo Perez Ramos advances against Maxwell Mckennon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Maxwell Mckennon vs Pablo Perez Ramos | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Maxwell Mckennon faces Pablo Perez Ramos in an ITF Men's tournament match scheduled for 28 May 2026 in Kayseri, Turkey. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity or a complete absence of backing for Mckennon to advance. With the settlement window closing 7 June 2026, traders have a narrow window to assess form, injury status, and court conditions before resolution.
ITF Futures matches at this tier typically see volatile probability shifts once player lineups are confirmed and recent tournament results surface. Comparable lower-ranked ITF contests often trade with wide spreads when one or both competitors lack recent ATP or Challenger exposure; the current zero probability suggests either Perez Ramos is significantly favoured based on available ranking data, or Mckennon's participation remains uncertain. Historical ITF Kayseri events have occasionally experienced scheduling delays or cancellations due to weather or administrative issues, which would trigger the 50-50 tie-break resolution clause.
Key catalysts include confirmation of both players' arrival and fitness status in the week preceding the match, any last-minute withdrawals, and surface conditions at the Kayseri venue. Court surface type—typically hard court at Turkish ITF events—can substantially favour certain playing styles. Traders should monitor ITF circuit announcements and player social media for withdrawal notices, as late scratches are not uncommon at this level. The extremely thin order book suggests limited liquidity; any material information shift could produce sharp repricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Maxwell Mckennon vs Pablo Perez Ramos" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$502 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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