Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Cruz Hewitt and John Sperle in the ITF Men Troisdorf, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cruz Hewitt' if Cruz Hewitt advances against John Sperle. This market will resolve to 'John Sperle' if John Sperle advances against Cruz Hewitt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Troisdorf: Cruz Hewitt vs John Sperle | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Cruz Hewitt and John Sperle are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's tournament at Troisdorf, Germany on 27 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting either overwhelming confidence in match completion or minimal trading activity establishing price discovery at the extremes.
ITF Men's matches at this level carry a historical completion rate exceeding 95%, with cancellations typically resulting from injury withdrawals announced within 48 hours of scheduled play. Comparable fixtures on the ITF circuit show that when matches do proceed to court, they almost invariably reach a conclusion, as players at this ranking tier depend on match completeness for ranking accumulation. The extreme probability reading warrants scrutiny: such pricing often reflects thin liquidity rather than genuine certainty, particularly for events scheduled seven weeks forward where material information remains sparse.
Traders should monitor the ATP/ITF injury report and tournament draw confirmations in the week preceding 27 May, as late withdrawals occasionally occur when players prioritise higher-tier events or manage minor injuries. Weather conditions at Troisdorf in late May typically favour play, reducing force majeure risk. The settlement window extends to 3 June, providing a three-day buffer for delayed matches before the 50-50 resolution threshold activates. Current pricing offers limited margin for adverse scenarios given the compressed odds.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Troisdorf: Cruz Hewitt vs John Sperle" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$43 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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