Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alan Raul Sau Franco and Romain Faucon in the ITF Men Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 2:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alan Raul Sau Franco' if Alan Raul Sau Franco advances against Romain Faucon. This market will resolve to 'Romain Faucon' if Romain Faucon advances against Alan Raul Sau Franco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Alan Raul Sau Franco vs Romain Faucon | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Alan Raul Sau Franco, a Paraguayan ITF competitor, faces Romain Faucon of France in the ITF Men's Kayseri tournament, scheduled for early June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture where both players compete for ranking points and prize money on the ITF circuit. Polymarket's order book currently prices Franco's victory at 90% implied probability, with Sau Franco's advancement priced at just 10%, reflecting a substantial perceived gap in competitive strength between the two players.
ITF Men's matches at this tier typically see significant variance in outcomes, particularly when comparing players with disparate ranking trajectories or recent form. Franco, competing in Turkey, enters as the clear favourite based on current market pricing, though ITF tournaments frequently produce upsets when lower-ranked players capitalise on inconsistency or surface-specific advantages. Historical ITF data shows that matches with such stark probability gaps (90-10) often reflect reliable consensus when both players have established recent records, though the 10% tail probability accounts for injury, withdrawal, or unexpected performance swings.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament updates and player withdrawal announcements as the June 3 scheduled date approaches. Surface conditions in Kayseri—typically hard courts—and any late-stage fitness concerns for either player could shift the order book. The settlement window extends to June 10, allowing seven days for match completion; delays beyond that trigger a 50-50 resolution, introducing additional risk for positions held through the final days.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Alan Raul Sau Franco vs Romain Faucon" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$139 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $139 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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