Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Fantusis and Lena Thomas Iglesias in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 10:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emma Fantusis' if Emma Fantusis advances against Lena Thomas Iglesias. This market will resolve to 'Lena Thomas Iglesias' if Lena Thomas Iglesias advances against Emma Fantusis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Emma Fantusis vs Lena Thomas Iglesias | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Emma Fantusis and Lena Thomas Iglesias are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament in Monastir on 27 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture, with both players competing on the ITF circuit where prize money and ranking points are modest compared to WTA events. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero implied probability for Fantusis advancing, suggesting either minimal trading activity or a strong consensus expectation favouring Thomas Iglesias.
ITF matches at this level typically feature players ranked outside the top 200, where form and recent match play carry substantial weight. Historical precedent indicates that markets on lower-tier tennis fixtures often reflect incomplete information about player fitness, recent results, and head-to-head records. The 0% probability displayed on Polymarket's order book likely reflects thin liquidity rather than certainty; early traders may have positioned aggressively on Thomas Iglesias without meaningful counter-bids from those backing Fantusis.
Traders monitoring this market should track player announcements regarding participation, any withdrawal notices issued before 27 May, and recent ITF results for both competitors. Weather conditions in Monastir during late May could affect court conditions and match scheduling. The settlement window extends to 3 June, allowing a seven-day buffer for delays, though matches abandoned after play commences trigger a 50-50 resolution. Current pricing offers limited margin for Fantusis backers unless new information emerges regarding Thomas Iglesias's availability or form deterioration.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Emma Fantusis vs Lena Thomas Iglesias" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$549 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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