Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Kate Fakih and Lily Taylor in the ITF Women Lakewood, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kate Fakih' if Kate Fakih advances against Lily Taylor. This market will resolve to 'Lily Taylor' if Lily Taylor advances against Kate Fakih. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Kate Fakih vs Lily Taylor | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Kate Fakih and Lily Taylor are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Lakewood tournament on 2 June 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability on the order book, indicating either extremely lopsided expectations or minimal trading volume at present. Settlement occurs by 9 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for the match to conclude and a winner to be determined.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this level typically proceed as scheduled, with cancellations or extended delays remaining uncommon. Historical resolution patterns for comparable ITF tournaments show that matches rarely fail to produce a winner within the settlement window unless weather or injury forces postponement beyond the seven-day threshold. The current probability formation likely reflects limited order book depth rather than definitive assessment of either player's prospects, as these lower-tier professional events often attract sparse trading activity until closer to the event date.
Traders should monitor ITF Lakewood's official draw updates and any weather alerts for the Lakewood venue in early June. Player injury announcements or withdrawal notices would trigger immediate repricing. The match outcome depends on court conditions, recent form, and head-to-head dynamics between Fakih and Taylor, none of which are currently reflected in the extreme probability reading. As the tournament approaches, increased trading volume typically narrows such wide probability gaps, making current pricing potentially unstable.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Kate Fakih vs Lily Taylor" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$933 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $754 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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