Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastiano Cocola and Luca Potenza in the ITF Men Caltanissetta, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastiano Cocola' if Sebastiano Cocola advances against Luca Potenza. This market will resolve to 'Luca Potenza' if Luca Potenza advances against Sebastiano Cocola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Caltanissetta: Sebastiano Cocola vs Luca Potenza | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Sebastiano Cocola and Luca Potenza are scheduled to meet in the ITF Men's tournament at Caltanissetta on 4 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero demand for either outcome, with the crowd-implied probability reflecting no meaningful position-taking ahead of the match. This absence of liquidity is typical for lower-tier ITF events, where trading volume concentrates only when players have established ranking trajectories or notable recent results that attract speculative interest.
Both players compete primarily on the ITF circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on surface conditions, recent form, and head-to-head records that often remain sparse. Cocola and Potenza's prior encounters, if any exist, would typically be documented through ATP databases or ITF archives, though such records are frequently incomplete for players outside the top 200. The 0% probability reading reflects the market's current indifference rather than a confident forecast; it simply indicates no trader has yet committed capital to either side.
The settlement window closes on 11 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date. Traders should monitor ITF official announcements for any withdrawal, rescheduling, or surface changes at the Caltanissetta venue. Court conditions in Sicily during early June—particularly heat and clay court maintenance—can influence match outcomes. Any shift in player availability or ranking points at stake would likely trigger initial order book activity as the match date approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caltanissetta: Sebastiano Cocola vs Luca Potenza" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$163 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $36 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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