Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Eryn Cayetano and Maya Iyengar in the ITF Women Wichita, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 3:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eryn Cayetano' if Eryn Cayetano advances against Maya Iyengar. This market will resolve to 'Maya Iyengar' if Maya Iyengar advances against Eryn Cayetano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wichita: Eryn Cayetano vs Maya Iyengar | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Eryn Cayetano faces Maya Iyengar in a women's ITF match scheduled for 26 May 2026 at the Wichita tournament. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for YES (Cayetano advancing), reflecting either an extreme confidence in her superiority or minimal liquidity at the current price. Settlement occurs by 2 June 2026, allowing a six-day window for the match to conclude and be officially recorded.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this level typically feature players ranked outside the WTA top 200, where form variance and head-to-head records carry substantial weight. Cayetano and Iyengar's prior meetings, if any exist, would be the primary historical reference point; absent direct history, comparable ITF fixtures show that seeding disparities and recent tournament results often explain probability skew. A 100% reading suggests either a significant ranking or recent performance gap, though such extreme probabilities on lower-tier matches frequently indicate thin order books rather than certainty.
Traders should monitor the official ITF schedule for any cancellations or postponements beyond the seven-day grace period, which would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Weather conditions in Wichita during late May could affect scheduling. Withdrawal announcements from either player would be critical; such news typically emerges 48–72 hours before match time. Confirmation of both players' participation and court assignment closer to the event date will provide clarity on whether the current probability reflects genuine analytical consensus or simply reflects minimal counter-liquidity at present prices.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wichita: Eryn Cayetano vs Maya Iyengar" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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