Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Burdet and Filippo Mazzola in the ITF Men Kranjska Gora, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Burdet' if Adrien Burdet advances against Filippo Mazzola. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Mazzola' if Filippo Mazzola advances against Adrien Burdet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kranjska Gora: Adrien Burdet vs Filippo Mazzola | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Adrien Burdet and Filippo Mazzola are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's tournament at Kranjska Gora on 27 May 2026. The match is set for 5:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at YES, reflecting a 0% implied probability. This extreme pricing typically emerges when one or both players are absent from the draw, when withdrawal announcements precede trading, or when the match fixture itself has been removed from the tournament schedule. The settlement window closes on 3 June 2026 at 09:00 UTC, allowing a six-day window for the match to be played before the market resolves to 50-50 in the event of cancellation or non-completion.
ITF Men's events at this tier frequently experience withdrawals and schedule adjustments, particularly when players prioritise higher-ranked tournaments or manage injury concerns. Comparable matches at regional ITF venues have historically shown volatile probability shifts when player confirmations emerge late or when tournament draws are finalised. Traders should monitor the official ITF website and Kranjska Gora tournament announcements for draw confirmations and any withdrawal notices in the days immediately preceding the event. The early morning start time (5:00 AM ET) may also influence participation rates and scheduling reliability.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kranjska Gora: Adrien Burdet vs Filippo Mazzola" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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