Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Bosio and Alexandr Binda in the ITF Men Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Bosio' if Gabriele Bosio advances against Alexandr Binda. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Gabriele Bosio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Gabriele Bosio vs Alexandr Binda | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Gabriele Bosio and Alexandr Binda are scheduled to meet in the ITF Men's circuit event at Tsaghkadzor, Armenia on 30 May 2026. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Bosio's advancement, suggesting either overwhelming confidence in his form or minimal liquidity at the extremes. ITF events at this tier typically draw regional players and those rebuilding ranking points; both competitors operate in this space, where match outcomes can hinge on surface familiarity and recent tournament momentum rather than seeding alone.
Historical precedent for ITF matches at Armenian venues shows relatively stable scheduling, though weather and venue logistics occasionally create delays. Comparable ITF events in the Caucasus region have seen cancellations or rescheduling in roughly 5–8% of cases, primarily due to travel disruptions or facility issues. The settlement window extends to 6 June, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date, which aligns with standard ITF contingency protocols.
Traders should monitor ITF official draws and entry lists as the event approaches, typically published 7–10 days prior. Recent player withdrawal patterns from regional ITF events suggest checking both competitors' recent match records and any announcements regarding injury or schedule conflicts. The Armenian venue itself has hosted ITF events consistently, reducing cancellation risk relative to less established locations. Liquidity at the current 100% mark is likely thin; material shifts would require either late withdrawal news or significant new information about either player's form.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Gabriele Bosio vs Alexandr Binda" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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