Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Jean Baptiste Badon and Amit Vales in the ITF Men Lakewood, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 11:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jean Baptiste Badon' if Jean Baptiste Badon advances against Amit Vales. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Jean Baptiste Badon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Jean Baptiste Badon vs Amit Vales | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Jean Baptiste Badon and Amit Vales are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's tournament at Lakewood on 3 June 2026, with the match originally set for 11:15 AM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability on the order book, indicating traders have priced in Badon's advancement. This extreme probability suggests either substantial confidence in the favourite or minimal liquidity at present, which is common for lower-tier ITF matches where trading volume remains sparse until closer to event date.
ITF Men's tournaments typically feature significant variance in match outcomes, particularly at Lakewood where surface conditions and player preparation levels fluctuate considerably. Historical data from comparable ITF events shows that matches involving players ranked outside the ATP top 500 frequently produce upsets, with approximately 15–20% of favourites failing to advance. The current 100% pricing likely reflects limited order book depth rather than genuine certainty about the match result.
Traders should monitor player withdrawal announcements and injury disclosures in the week preceding 3 June, as ITF draws frequently experience last-minute changes. The settlement window extends to 10 June at 15:15 UTC, allowing a seven-day buffer for delayed matches. Any cancellation, tie result, or failure to complete play triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent ITF scheduling data from the official ITF website indicates weather delays are common at outdoor Lakewood venues during early June, making completion risk a material consideration for position management.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Jean Baptiste Badon vs Amit Vales" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$266 in lifetime turnover and $61K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $266 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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