Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Allison Wang and Kailey Evans in the ITF Women Lakewood, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Allison Wang' if Allison Wang advances against Kailey Evans. This market will resolve to 'Kailey Evans' if Kailey Evans advances against Allison Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Allison Wang vs Kailey Evans | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Allison Wang faces Kailey Evans in an ITF Women's event at Lakewood, originally scheduled for 29 May 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The match is a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting the market is pricing in near-certainty that the match will occur and produce a decisive winner by the settlement deadline of 5 June 2026.
ITF Women's matches at this level typically proceed as scheduled absent extraordinary circumstances. Historical resolution patterns for comparable ITF fixtures show cancellations remain rare, with most matches either completing on their original date or being rescheduled within the seven-day window that would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Weather disruptions at outdoor venues and player withdrawals account for the majority of non-completion scenarios, though both remain statistical outliers for established professional events.
Traders should monitor ITF Lakewood's official draw updates and any weather forecasts for the venue in late May. Player injury announcements or late withdrawals would be the primary catalyst shifting the current pricing, as would scheduling conflicts if either competitor advances through earlier rounds requiring extended play. The ITF's public tournament schedule and draw updates typically appear on the governing body's website, providing real-time confirmation of match status as the event approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Allison Wang vs Kailey Evans" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$617 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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